Decline Model Comparison


Spreadsheet

33 rows x 5 columns

fx
A B C D E
1 Decline Model Comparison
2 Common Parameters
3 Initial Rate 800 bbl/day
4
5 Arps Parameters
6 Initial Decline (Di) 0.08 1/month
7 b-exponent 0.7 -
8
9 Duong Parameters
10 a constant 1.3 -
11 m exponent 1.15 -
12
13 PLE Parameters
14 Di 0.1 1/month
15 n exponent 0.4 -
16 Dinf 0.005 1/month
17
18 Rate Comparison (bbl/day)
19 t (months) Arps Duong PLE Spread (%)
20 1 740.0897503 800 720.2596181 10.58337039
21 6 528.8913636 785.7325622 632.6039004 39.57028477
22 12 383.8672181 681.04463 575.0285662 54.36369685
23 24 236.9076689 553.3795434 496.7521632 73.76741083
24 36 165.2677356 476.8708562 439.3583892 86.43661316
25 60 97.61978784 385.0030307 354.3409722 103.0092028
26 120 43.15839368 275.6745379 222.7210496 128.8049681
27
28 Cumulative Production (Mstb)
29 t (months) Arps Duong PLE
30 60 15.59907188 32.83936372 29.17073174
31 120 19.4507167 52.18092049 46.08260491
32 240 22.71829965 79.2079051 64.21141892
33 360 24.32176036 99.17037442 72.4665763

Description

Compare multiple decline curve models for the same well. Different models may be more appropriate depending on reservoir type and flow regime. Arps is standard for conventional, Duong for unconventional transient, and PLE for tight/shale.

Models Compared:

  • Arps: Classic hyperbolic decline (conventional reservoirs)
  • Duong: Power-law decline (unconventional, transient linear flow)
  • PLE: Power Law Exponential (tight/shale, early time)
How to use this blueprint
  1. In Excel, go to the Petroleum Office ribbon tab and click Blueprint Manager
  2. Search for Decline Model Comparison
  3. Click on the blueprint to preview the spreadsheet template
  4. Click Insert to place it into your worksheet. Modify the input values to match your data.
Tags:
declineArpsDuongplecomparisonmodelsforecast

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