{
  "version": 1,
  "id": "po.wb.economics.well-program",
  "name": "Well-Program Economics — Scenario Table, NPV, IRR, Payout",
  "sheets": [
    {
      "name": "Guide",
      "cells": [
        {
          "ref": "A1",
          "value": "Well-program economics — one scenario per row"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A3",
          "value": "What this is"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A4",
          "value": "The economics of a small Texas horizontal program (5–10 wells), modelled month by month. An Excel Table holds one scenario per row: its assumptions, and in the same row its NPV, IRR, payout, PV/I, EUR and net cash. Change a row, or add one, and its results follow. The default assumptions are illustrative, not a price deck. Every formula is plain Excel; no add-in is needed."
        },
        {
          "ref": "A6",
          "value": "Sheets"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A7",
          "value": "Assumptions — the base case. Blue cells on a yellow background are inputs: program, type curve, prices, interests, Texas severance (4.6 % oil, 7.5 % gas) and ad valorem, costs and the discount rate."
        },
        {
          "ref": "A8",
          "value": "Scenarios — the Table. An assumption cell is a number or a formula on the base case, so a row that does not override a value follows the Assumptions sheet. Result columns are calculated columns calling named LAMBDAs (Formulas › Name Manager, MODEL.* and PO.ECON.*) that run the whole monthly model on that row's assumptions. The picker at the top (C2) sends any row to Cash Flow."
        },
        {
          "ref": "A9",
          "value": "Cash Flow — the audit of one case: the program year by year (volumes, revenue, taxes, costs, capital, net and discounted cash, cumulative), for the base case or the row picked on Scenarios. The annual rows are sums of the same monthly engine, and the sheet shows that they reconcile to it."
        },
        {
          "ref": "A11",
          "value": "The model"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A12",
          "value": "Wells come online one every few months and are drilled the month before. Each well follows an Arps hyperbolic type curve switching to an exponential terminal decline, sampled at mid-month, with gas from a constant GOR. A well produces until its operating margin reaches zero (the economic limit, from start-of-life prices) or the life cap, then is plugged the following month. Net revenue is the NRI share; severance is charged on the oil and gas value and ad valorem on net revenue; costs and capital are the WI share. NPV discounts end-of-month cash flows at the annual rate; IRR is the monthly IRR annualised; PV/I is NPV divided by the discounted capital."
        },
        {
          "ref": "A14",
          "value": "What version 1 takes in, and what it leaves out"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A15",
          "value": "Escalation is in: one annual rate on prices and operating costs (Assumptions), applied month by month. Partners are in as rows: a partner's case is a row with its own WI and NRI, which scales the costs by WI and the revenue by NRI — a 40 % partner at the same revenue-to-working-interest ratio earns exactly 40 % of the base NPV. Price decks are out: a deck is a table of prices per scenario, which does not fit one row, so a scenario has flat prices (plus escalation)."
        },
        {
          "ref": "A16",
          "value": "Also out: risked or Monte Carlo economics, reserves booking, fiscal regimes beyond the Texas taxes shown, and any carry or reversion in the interests."
        },
        {
          "ref": "A18",
          "value": "Reading the results"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A19",
          "value": "Negative NPV, and an IRR below the hurdle or with no root, are flagged red in the Table. IRR is \"n/a\" when NPV never falls through zero between −5 % and +45 % a month; payout is \"none\" when cumulative cash never recovers. The Cash Flow sheet shows 35 years; a program that runs longer says so there, but the Table always uses the whole life."
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "Assumptions",
      "cells": [
        {
          "ref": "A1",
          "value": "Assumptions — base case"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A2",
          "value": "Blue cells on a yellow background are inputs. Illustrative defaults for a small Texas horizontal program; the Scenarios sheet varies price, capital, LOE, type curve, well count, interests and discount rate around them."
        },
        {
          "ref": "A4",
          "value": "Program"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A5",
          "value": "Wells"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B5",
          "value": 8,
          "format": "0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C5",
          "value": "wells"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D5",
          "value": "1–10 (a small program is 5–10); each is drilled the month before it comes online"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A6",
          "value": "First well online"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B6",
          "value": 3,
          "format": "0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C6",
          "value": "month"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D6",
          "value": "Month 1 is the start of the program; 2 or later"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A7",
          "value": "Months between wells coming online"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B7",
          "value": 1,
          "format": "0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C7",
          "value": "months"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A8",
          "value": "Longest producing life of a well"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B8",
          "value": 360,
          "format": "0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C8",
          "value": "months"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D8",
          "value": "A well stops sooner when its margin reaches zero"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A10",
          "value": "Type curve — one well, oil"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A11",
          "value": "Initial oil rate"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B11",
          "value": 800,
          "format": "#,##0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C11",
          "value": "bbl/d"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A12",
          "value": "Arps hyperbolic exponent b"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B12",
          "value": 1,
          "format": "0.00"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C12",
          "value": "—"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D12",
          "value": "0 < b ≤ 2"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A13",
          "value": "Initial decline, effective secant"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B13",
          "value": 0.65,
          "format": "0%"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C13",
          "value": "per year"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A14",
          "value": "Terminal decline, effective"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B14",
          "value": 0.08,
          "format": "0%"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C14",
          "value": "per year"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D14",
          "value": "Exponential tail after the switch"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A15",
          "value": "Gas–oil ratio"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B15",
          "value": 1500,
          "format": "#,##0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C15",
          "value": "scf/bbl"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D15",
          "value": "Constant over life"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A16",
          "value": "Type-curve factor"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B16",
          "value": 1,
          "format": "0.00"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C16",
          "value": "×"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D16",
          "value": "Scales the initial rate: 0.75 ≈ P90, 1.3 ≈ P10"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A18",
          "value": "Prices"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A19",
          "value": "Oil price (WTI)"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B19",
          "value": 70,
          "format": "0.00"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C19",
          "value": "$/bbl"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A20",
          "value": "Oil differential"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B20",
          "value": 1.5,
          "format": "0.00"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C20",
          "value": "$/bbl"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D20",
          "value": "Deducted: quality and transport"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A21",
          "value": "Gas price (Henry Hub)"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B21",
          "value": 3,
          "format": "0.00"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C21",
          "value": "$/MMBtu"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D21",
          "value": "1 MMBtu per Mcf assumed"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A22",
          "value": "Gas differential"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B22",
          "value": 1,
          "format": "0.00"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C22",
          "value": "$/MMBtu"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D22",
          "value": "Deducted: Waha basis"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A23",
          "value": "Escalation, prices and operating costs"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B23",
          "value": 0,
          "format": "0.0%"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C23",
          "value": "per year"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D23",
          "value": "The economic limit uses start-of-life prices"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A25",
          "value": "Interests and Texas taxes"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A26",
          "value": "Working interest"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B26",
          "value": 1,
          "format": "0.0%"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D26",
          "value": "Scales costs and capital"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A27",
          "value": "Net revenue interest"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B27",
          "value": 0.75,
          "format": "0.0%"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D27",
          "value": "Scales revenue; 25 % royalty at 100 % WI"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A28",
          "value": "Oil production (severance) tax"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B28",
          "value": 0.046,
          "format": "0.0%"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C28",
          "value": "of value"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D28",
          "value": "Texas: 4.6 % of the market value of oil"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A29",
          "value": "Gas production (severance) tax"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B29",
          "value": 0.075,
          "format": "0.0%"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C29",
          "value": "of value"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D29",
          "value": "Texas: 7.5 % of the market value of gas"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A30",
          "value": "Ad valorem tax"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B30",
          "value": 0.025,
          "format": "0.0%"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C30",
          "value": "of revenue"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D30",
          "value": "Approximated as a share of net revenue"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A32",
          "value": "Costs"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A33",
          "value": "Drilling and completion, per well"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B33",
          "value": 7,
          "format": "0.00"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C33",
          "value": "$MM"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D33",
          "value": "Spent the month before the well comes online"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A34",
          "value": "Fixed LOE"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B34",
          "value": 8000,
          "format": "#,##0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C34",
          "value": "$/well-month"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A35",
          "value": "Variable LOE"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B35",
          "value": 4,
          "format": "0.00"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C35",
          "value": "$/bbl"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A36",
          "value": "Gas gathering and processing"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B36",
          "value": 0.5,
          "format": "0.00"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C36",
          "value": "$/Mcf"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A37",
          "value": "Plugging and abandonment, per well"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B37",
          "value": 150000,
          "format": "#,##0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C37",
          "value": "$"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D37",
          "value": "The month after the well's last production"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A39",
          "value": "Discounting"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A40",
          "value": "Discount rate"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B40",
          "value": 0.1,
          "format": "0.0%"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C40",
          "value": "per year"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D40",
          "value": "End-of-month cash flows; NPV at this rate"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A41",
          "value": "IRR hurdle"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B41",
          "value": 0.15,
          "format": "0.0%"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C41",
          "value": "per year"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D41",
          "value": "IRR below this is flagged red on the Scenarios sheet"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "name": "Scenarios",
      "cells": [
        {
          "ref": "A1",
          "value": "Scenarios — one row per set of assumptions, results in the same row"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B2",
          "value": "Case shown on the Cash Flow sheet:"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C2",
          "value": 0,
          "format": "0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D2",
          "value": "0 = the base case on the Assumptions sheet; otherwise a Case number from the Table (found by number, so sorting is safe)."
        },
        {
          "ref": "A3",
          "value": "Assumption columns (blue) are inputs — numbers, or formulas on the base case so they follow it. Result columns are calculated columns calling the MODEL.* and PO.ECON.* LAMBDAs, so every row runs the whole monthly model on its own assumptions. Add a row at the bottom of the Table and its results fill in. WI scales costs and capital, NRI scales revenue: a partner is a row."
        },
        {
          "ref": "A5",
          "value": "Case"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B5",
          "value": "Scenario"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C5",
          "value": "Oil $/bbl"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D5",
          "value": "Gas $/MMBtu"
        },
        {
          "ref": "E5",
          "value": "D&C $MM/well"
        },
        {
          "ref": "F5",
          "value": "LOE $/well-month"
        },
        {
          "ref": "G5",
          "value": "Type curve factor"
        },
        {
          "ref": "H5",
          "value": "Wells"
        },
        {
          "ref": "I5",
          "value": "WI"
        },
        {
          "ref": "J5",
          "value": "NRI"
        },
        {
          "ref": "K5",
          "value": "Discount rate"
        },
        {
          "ref": "L5",
          "value": "NPV $MM"
        },
        {
          "ref": "M5",
          "value": "IRR"
        },
        {
          "ref": "N5",
          "value": "Payout months"
        },
        {
          "ref": "O5",
          "value": "PV/I"
        },
        {
          "ref": "P5",
          "value": "EUR Mbbl/well"
        },
        {
          "ref": "Q5",
          "value": "Net cash $MM"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A6",
          "value": 1,
          "format": "0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B6",
          "value": "Base case",
          "format": "@"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C6",
          "formula": "=EC_Oil",
          "cached": 70,
          "format": "0.00"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D6",
          "formula": "=EC_Gas",
          "cached": 3,
          "format": "0.00"
        },
        {
          "ref": "E6",
          "formula": "=EC_DC",
          "cached": 7,
          "format": "0.00"
        },
        {
          "ref": "F6",
          "formula": "=EC_LOE",
          "cached": 8000,
          "format": "#,##0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "G6",
          "formula": "=EC_TC",
          "cached": 1,
          "format": "0.00"
        },
        {
          "ref": "H6",
          "formula": "=EC_Wells",
          "cached": 8,
          "format": "0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "I6",
          "formula": "=EC_WI",
          "cached": 1,
          "format": "0.0%"
        },
        {
          "ref": "J6",
          "formula": "=EC_NRI",
          "cached": 0.75,
          "format": "0.0%"
        },
        {
          "ref": "K6",
          "formula": "=EC_Disc",
          "cached": 0.1,
          "format": "0.0%"
        },
        {
          "ref": "L6",
          "formula": "=PO.ECON.NPV.Monthly(MODEL.CashFlow(ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Oil $/bbl]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Gas $/MMBtu]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[D&C $MM/well]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[LOE $/well-month]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Type curve factor]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Wells]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[WI]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[NRI]]),ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Discount rate]])/1000000",
          "cached": 76.22791733931075,
          "format": "#,##0.0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "M6",
          "formula": "=PO.ECON.IRR.Monthly(MODEL.CashFlow(ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Oil $/bbl]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Gas $/MMBtu]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[D&C $MM/well]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[LOE $/well-month]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Type curve factor]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Wells]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[WI]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[NRI]]))",
          "cached": 1.124556157282652,
          "format": "0.0%"
        },
        {
          "ref": "N6",
          "formula": "=PO.ECON.Payout(MODEL.CashFlow(ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Oil $/bbl]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Gas $/MMBtu]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[D&C $MM/well]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[LOE $/well-month]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Type curve factor]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Wells]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[WI]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[NRI]]))",
          "cached": 17,
          "format": "0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "O6",
          "formula": "=ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[NPV $MM]]*1000000/PO.ECON.NPV.Monthly(MODEL.Capex(ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[D&C $MM/well]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Wells]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[WI]]),ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Discount rate]])",
          "cached": 1.4217582613906914,
          "format": "0.00"
        },
        {
          "ref": "P6",
          "formula": "=MODEL.EUR(ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Oil $/bbl]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Gas $/MMBtu]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[LOE $/well-month]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Type curve factor]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[WI]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[NRI]])/1000",
          "cached": 611.9440899929,
          "format": "#,##0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "Q6",
          "formula": "=SUM(MODEL.CashFlow(ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Oil $/bbl]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Gas $/MMBtu]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[D&C $MM/well]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[LOE $/well-month]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Type curve factor]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Wells]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[WI]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[NRI]]))/1000000",
          "cached": 140.07149933515387,
          "format": "#,##0.0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "A7",
          "value": 2,
          "format": "0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "B7",
          "value": "Low oil — $55",
          "format": "@"
        },
        {
          "ref": "C7",
          "value": 55,
          "format": "0.00"
        },
        {
          "ref": "D7",
          "formula": "=EC_Gas",
          "cached": 3,
          "format": "0.00"
        },
        {
          "ref": "E7",
          "formula": "=EC_DC",
          "cached": 7,
          "format": "0.00"
        },
        {
          "ref": "F7",
          "formula": "=EC_LOE",
          "cached": 8000,
          "format": "#,##0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "G7",
          "formula": "=EC_TC",
          "cached": 1,
          "format": "0.00"
        },
        {
          "ref": "H7",
          "formula": "=EC_Wells",
          "cached": 8,
          "format": "0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "I7",
          "formula": "=EC_WI",
          "cached": 1,
          "format": "0.0%"
        },
        {
          "ref": "J7",
          "formula": "=EC_NRI",
          "cached": 0.75,
          "format": "0.0%"
        },
        {
          "ref": "K7",
          "formula": "=EC_Disc",
          "cached": 0.1,
          "format": "0.0%"
        },
        {
          "ref": "L7",
          "formula": "=PO.ECON.NPV.Monthly(MODEL.CashFlow(ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Oil $/bbl]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Gas $/MMBtu]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[D&C $MM/well]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[LOE $/well-month]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Type curve factor]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Wells]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[WI]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[NRI]]),ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Discount rate]])/1000000",
          "cached": 44.37598270707684,
          "format": "#,##0.0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "M7",
          "formula": "=PO.ECON.IRR.Monthly(MODEL.CashFlow(ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Oil $/bbl]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Gas $/MMBtu]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[D&C $MM/well]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[LOE $/well-month]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Type curve factor]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Wells]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[WI]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[NRI]]))",
          "cached": 0.5783520393010007,
          "format": "0.0%"
        },
        {
          "ref": "N7",
          "formula": "=PO.ECON.Payout(MODEL.CashFlow(ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Oil $/bbl]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Gas $/MMBtu]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[D&C $MM/well]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[LOE $/well-month]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Type curve factor]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[Wells]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[WI]],ScenarioTable[[#This Row],[NRI]]))",
          "cached": 24,
          "format": "0"
        },
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          "format": "#,##0.0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "I53",
          "formula": "=SUM(I18:I52)",
          "cached": 1.2,
          "format": "#,##0.0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "J53",
          "formula": "=SUM(J18:J52)",
          "cached": 140.07149933515385,
          "format": "#,##0.0;[Red]-#,##0.0"
        },
        {
          "ref": "K53",
          "formula": "=SUM(K18:K52)",
          "cached": 76.22791733931082,
          "format": "#,##0.0;[Red]-#,##0.0"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "namedRanges": [
    {
      "name": "CF_DC",
      "refersTo": "'Cash Flow'!$D$8"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF_Disc",
      "refersTo": "'Cash Flow'!$D$14"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF_EUR",
      "refersTo": "'Cash Flow'!$J$9"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF_Gas",
      "refersTo": "'Cash Flow'!$D$7"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF_IRR",
      "refersTo": "'Cash Flow'!$J$6"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF_LOE",
      "refersTo": "'Cash Flow'!$D$9"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF_Life",
      "refersTo": "'Cash Flow'!$J$11"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF_NPV",
      "refersTo": "'Cash Flow'!$J$5"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF_NRI",
      "refersTo": "'Cash Flow'!$D$13"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF_NetCash",
      "refersTo": "'Cash Flow'!$J$10"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF_Oil",
      "refersTo": "'Cash Flow'!$D$6"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF_PVI",
      "refersTo": "'Cash Flow'!$J$8"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF_Payout",
      "refersTo": "'Cash Flow'!$J$7"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF_ReconNet",
      "refersTo": "'Cash Flow'!$J$14"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF_ReconNpv",
      "refersTo": "'Cash Flow'!$J$13"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF_Row",
      "refersTo": "'Cash Flow'!$D$5"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF_TC",
      "refersTo": "'Cash Flow'!$D$10"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF_WI",
      "refersTo": "'Cash Flow'!$D$12"
    },
    {
      "name": "CF_Wells",
      "refersTo": "'Cash Flow'!$D$11"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_AdVal",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$30"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_DC",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$33"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_Dei",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$13"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_Disc",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$40"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_Dterm",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$14"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_Esc",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$23"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_FirstOnline",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$6"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_GOR",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$15"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_Gas",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$21"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_GasDiff",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$22"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_Gath",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$36"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_Hurdle",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$41"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_IP",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$11"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_LOE",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$34"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_LOEVar",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$35"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_LifeCap",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$8"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_NRI",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$27"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_Oil",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$19"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_OilDiff",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$20"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_PA",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$37"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_Pick",
      "refersTo": "Scenarios!$C$2"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_SevGas",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$29"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_SevOil",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$28"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_Spacing",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$7"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_TC",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$16"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_WI",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$26"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_Wells",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$5"
    },
    {
      "name": "EC_b",
      "refersTo": "Assumptions!$B$12"
    }
  ],
  "namedLambdas": [
    {
      "name": "MODEL.Annual",
      "definition": "=LAMBDA(oil_price,gas_price,dc_mm,loe_fixed,tc_factor,well_count,wi_frac,nri_frac,disc_rate,year_count,LET(monthly_matrix,MODEL.Monthly(oil_price,gas_price,dc_mm,loe_fixed,tc_factor,well_count,wi_frac,nri_frac),month_no,CHOOSECOLS(monthly_matrix,1),net_cash,CHOOSECOLS(monthly_matrix,5)-CHOOSECOLS(monthly_matrix,6)-CHOOSECOLS(monthly_matrix,7)-CHOOSECOLS(monthly_matrix,8)-CHOOSECOLS(monthly_matrix,9),scaled,HSTACK(CHOOSECOLS(monthly_matrix,2)/12,CHOOSECOLS(monthly_matrix,3)/1000,CHOOSECOLS(monthly_matrix,4)/1000,CHOOSECOLS(monthly_matrix,5)/1000000,CHOOSECOLS(monthly_matrix,6)/1000000,CHOOSECOLS(monthly_matrix,7)/1000000,CHOOSECOLS(monthly_matrix,8)/1000000,CHOOSECOLS(monthly_matrix,9)/1000000,net_cash/1000000,net_cash/(1+disc_rate)^(month_no/12)/1000000),in_year,(month_no>12*(SEQUENCE(1,year_count)-1))*(month_no<=12*SEQUENCE(1,year_count)),HSTACK(SEQUENCE(year_count),MMULT(TRANSPOSE(in_year),scaled))))"
    },
    {
      "name": "MODEL.Capex",
      "definition": "=LAMBDA(dc_mm,well_count,wi_frac,LET(month,SEQUENCE(EC_FirstOnline+(well_count-1)*EC_Spacing+EC_LifeCap+1),online,EC_FirstOnline+(SEQUENCE(1,well_count)-1)*EC_Spacing,dc_mm*1000000*wi_frac*MMULT((month=online-1)*1,SEQUENCE(well_count,1,1,0))))"
    },
    {
      "name": "MODEL.CashFlow",
      "definition": "=LAMBDA(oil_price,gas_price,dc_mm,loe_fixed,tc_factor,well_count,wi_frac,nri_frac,LET(monthly_matrix,MODEL.Monthly(oil_price,gas_price,dc_mm,loe_fixed,tc_factor,well_count,wi_frac,nri_frac),CHOOSECOLS(monthly_matrix,5)-CHOOSECOLS(monthly_matrix,6)-CHOOSECOLS(monthly_matrix,7)-CHOOSECOLS(monthly_matrix,8)-CHOOSECOLS(monthly_matrix,9)))"
    },
    {
      "name": "MODEL.EUR",
      "definition": "=LAMBDA(oil_price,gas_price,loe_fixed,tc_factor,wi_frac,nri_frac,LET(q_init,EC_IP*tc_factor,d_init,PO.ECON.Arps.Di(EC_b,EC_Dei),d_term,-LN(1-EC_Dterm),life_months,MODEL.Life(q_init,oil_price,gas_price,loe_fixed,wi_frac,nri_frac),IF(life_months=0,0,SUM(PO.ECON.Arps.Rate(q_init,EC_b,d_init,d_term,(SEQUENCE(life_months)-0.5)/12))*30.4375)))"
    },
    {
      "name": "MODEL.Life",
      "definition": "=LAMBDA(q_init,oil_price,gas_price,loe_fixed,wi_frac,nri_frac,LET(d_init,PO.ECON.Arps.Di(EC_b,EC_Dei),d_term,-LN(1-EC_Dterm),margin,(oil_price-EC_OilDiff)*nri_frac*(1-EC_SevOil-EC_AdVal)+EC_GOR/1000*((gas_price-EC_GasDiff)*nri_frac*(1-EC_SevGas-EC_AdVal)-EC_Gath*wi_frac)-EC_LOEVar*wi_frac,IF(margin<=0,0,IF(loe_fixed<=0,EC_LifeCap,MIN(EC_LifeCap,INT(12*PO.ECON.Arps.Time(q_init,EC_b,d_init,d_term,loe_fixed*wi_frac/(30.4375*margin))))))))"
    },
    {
      "name": "MODEL.Monthly",
      "definition": "=LAMBDA(oil_price,gas_price,dc_mm,loe_fixed,tc_factor,well_count,wi_frac,nri_frac,LET(q_init,EC_IP*tc_factor,d_init,PO.ECON.Arps.Di(EC_b,EC_Dei),d_term,-LN(1-EC_Dterm),life_months,MODEL.Life(q_init,oil_price,gas_price,loe_fixed,wi_frac,nri_frac),month,SEQUENCE(EC_FirstOnline+(well_count-1)*EC_Spacing+EC_LifeCap+1),online,EC_FirstOnline+(SEQUENCE(1,well_count)-1)*EC_Spacing,well_age,month-online+1,producing,(well_age>=1)*(well_age<=life_months),t_years,((well_age>=1)*well_age+(well_age<1)-0.5)/12,ones_col,SEQUENCE(well_count,1,1,0),oil_bbl,MMULT(producing*PO.ECON.Arps.Rate(q_init,EC_b,d_init,d_term,t_years)*30.4375,ones_col),wells_on,MMULT(producing,ones_col),gas_mcf,oil_bbl*EC_GOR/1000,escalation,(1+EC_Esc)^((month-1)/12),net_oil,oil_bbl*(oil_price-EC_OilDiff)*escalation*nri_frac,net_gas,gas_mcf*(gas_price-EC_GasDiff)*escalation*nri_frac,taxes,net_oil*EC_SevOil+net_gas*EC_SevGas+(net_oil+net_gas)*EC_AdVal,op_cost,(loe_fixed*wells_on+EC_LOEVar*oil_bbl+EC_Gath*gas_mcf)*wi_frac*escalation,plugging,EC_PA*wi_frac*MMULT((month=online+life_months)*1,ones_col),HSTACK(month,wells_on,oil_bbl,gas_mcf,net_oil+net_gas,taxes,op_cost,MODEL.Capex(dc_mm,well_count,wi_frac),plugging)))"
    },
    {
      "name": "PO.ECON.Arps.Di",
      "definition": "=LAMBDA(b_exp,d_secant,1/b_exp*((1-d_secant)^(-b_exp)-1))"
    },
    {
      "name": "PO.ECON.Arps.Rate",
      "definition": "=LAMBDA(q_init,b_exp,d_init,d_term,t_years,LET(t_switch,MAX(0,(d_init/d_term-1)/(b_exp*d_init)),q_switch,q_init*(1+b_exp*d_init*t_switch)^(-1/b_exp),(t_years<=t_switch)*q_init*(1+b_exp*d_init*t_years)^(-1/b_exp)+(t_years>t_switch)*q_switch*EXP(-d_term*(t_years-t_switch))))"
    },
    {
      "name": "PO.ECON.Arps.Time",
      "definition": "=LAMBDA(q_init,b_exp,d_init,d_term,q_limit,LET(t_switch,MAX(0,(d_init/d_term-1)/(b_exp*d_init)),q_switch,q_init*(1+b_exp*d_init*t_switch)^(-1/b_exp),IF(q_limit>=q_init,0,IF(q_limit>=q_switch,((q_init/q_limit)^b_exp-1)/(b_exp*d_init),t_switch+LN(q_switch/q_limit)/d_term))))"
    },
    {
      "name": "PO.ECON.IRR.Monthly",
      "definition": "=LAMBDA(cash,LET(cash_col,cash,grid_step,0.0025,rates,SEQUENCE(1,201,-0.05,grid_step),periods,SEQUENCE(ROWS(cash_col)),npv_grid,MMULT(TRANSPOSE(cash_col),(1+rates)^(-periods)),first_pos,IFERROR(XMATCH(TRUE,npv_grid>0),0),crossing,IF(first_pos=0,0,IFERROR(XMATCH(1,(SEQUENCE(1,201)>first_pos)*(npv_grid<=0)),0)),IF(crossing=0,\"n/a\",LET(r_lo,INDEX(rates,1,crossing-1),v_lo,INDEX(npv_grid,1,crossing-1),v_hi,INDEX(npv_grid,1,crossing),r_interp,r_lo+grid_step*v_lo/(v_lo-v_hi),r_refined,IFERROR(IRR(cash_col,r_lo),r_interp),(1+IF(AND(r_refined>=r_lo,r_refined<=r_lo+grid_step),r_refined,r_interp))^12-1))))"
    },
    {
      "name": "PO.ECON.NPV.Monthly",
      "definition": "=LAMBDA(cash,annual_rate,NPV((1+annual_rate)^(1/12)-1,cash))"
    },
    {
      "name": "PO.ECON.Payout",
      "definition": "=LAMBDA(cash,LET(cumulative,SCAN(0,cash,LAMBDA(running,flow,running+flow)),trough,MATCH(MIN(cumulative),cumulative,0),IFERROR(MATCH(1,(SEQUENCE(ROWS(cumulative))>trough)*(cumulative>=0),0),\"none\")))"
    }
  ],
  "charts": [
    {
      "sheet": "Scenarios",
      "type": "BarClustered",
      "title": "NPV by scenario ($MM)",
      "series": [
        {
          "name": "NPV at each row's discount rate ($MM)",
          "values": "Scenarios!$L$6:$L$20",
          "categories": "Scenarios!$B$6:$B$20"
        }
      ],
      "anchor": "S5",
      "endAnchor": "AA26",
      "xAxis": {
        "reversePlotOrder": true
      },
      "yAxis": {
        "numberFormat": "#,##0"
      }
    },
    {
      "sheet": "Cash Flow",
      "type": "LineMarkers",
      "title": "Cumulative net cash flow ($MM)",
      "series": [
        {
          "name": "Cumulative net cash flow",
          "values": "'Cash Flow'!$L$18:$L$52",
          "categories": "'Cash Flow'!$A$18:$A$52"
        }
      ],
      "anchor": "O4",
      "endAnchor": "X19",
      "xAxis": {
        "title": "Year"
      },
      "yAxis": {
        "numberFormat": "#,##0"
      }
    }
  ],
  "shapes": [],
  "pictures": [],
  "connectors": [],
  "conditionalFormats": [
    {
      "sheet": "Scenarios",
      "type": "Expression",
      "range": "L6:L20",
      "priority": 1,
      "stopIfTrue": false,
      "formula": "L6<0",
      "limits": []
    },
    {
      "sheet": "Scenarios",
      "type": "Expression",
      "range": "M6:M20",
      "priority": 2,
      "stopIfTrue": false,
      "formula": "OR(NOT(ISNUMBER(M6)),M6<EC_Hurdle)",
      "limits": []
    },
    {
      "sheet": "Cash Flow",
      "type": "Expression",
      "range": "J13",
      "priority": 1,
      "stopIfTrue": false,
      "formula": "ABS(J13)>0.000001",
      "limits": []
    },
    {
      "sheet": "Cash Flow",
      "type": "Expression",
      "range": "J14",
      "priority": 2,
      "stopIfTrue": false,
      "formula": "ABS(J14)>0.000001",
      "limits": []
    }
  ],
  "sparklineGroups": [],
  "functions": [
    "PO.ECON.IRR.Monthly",
    "PO.ECON.NPV.Monthly",
    "PO.ECON.Payout"
  ]
}